Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$209.80
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- pl…erNo30
- Mi…eyNo22.9
- Im…ngNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
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