Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$167.00
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
7.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
6
Top holders
- a…zNo48.1
- AnonymousYes50
- AnonymousNo50
- pl…erNo30
- Ha…onNo22.9
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