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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 6?

Live · started Nov 4 05:29 UTC

Yes
26.0 % chance
No
74.0 % chance
$1.2K
45

Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 05:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 6, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 26.0 %chance
  • Yes 26.0¢ · No 74.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

32.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.5¢
Yes price now
7.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
79
Smart money
33

Top holders

  • h…vNo283.2
  • Ke…axYes462.5
  • AnonymousNo153.8
  • w….No150.1
  • co…ngYes216.6

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 6? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank