Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Live
Yes
93.5 % chance
No
6.5 % chance
$59.4K
208
Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 22:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 93.5 %chance
- Yes 93.5¢ · No 6.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
83.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
93.5¢
Yes price now
10.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
271
Smart money
79
Top holders
- Hd…55Yes17,844
- M…PYes12,327
- cl…edYes10,799
- la…anYes8,490
- hu…lkNo9,966
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