Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$6.2K
13
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 19:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
31.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
11
Top holders
- bi…ioNo3,895
- an…ckNo3,235
- Jo…01No2,734
- Re…ntYes2,803
- Sm…r7No1,726
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