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Weather · Natural disasterswater

Question

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?

Live

Yes
95.3 % chance
No
4.7 % chance
$10.9K
20

Trading opened Aug 17, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 16, 2027 03:59 UTC

How low will Lake Powell drop? → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 95.3 %chance
  • Yes 95.3¢ · No 4.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

70.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.3¢
Yes price now
24.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Re…ceYes4,540
  • mo…yyYes1,877
  • Fr…teYes1,146
  • Ju…reNo911.8
  • Lo…tsNo1,200

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Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank