Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Live
Yes
46.5 % chance
No
53.5 % chance
$34.9K
43
Trading opened Sep 19, 2026 00:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 30, 2026 23:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 46.5 %chance
- Yes 46.5¢ · No 53.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
41.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
46.5¢
Yes price now
5.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
82
Smart money
24
Top holders
- 0x…aiYes41,954
- pa…aaNo14,966
- cl…edYes14,874
- re…vdYes14,900
- Te…s7No10,329
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