Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$165.71
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
5
Top holders
- pl…erNo60
- a…zNo48.3
- Lo…ogNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
- Cu…rmNo6.1
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