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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20?

Live · started Oct 19 21:00 UTC

Yes
40.0 % chance
No
60.0 % chance
$2.5K
33

Trading opened Oct 19, 2026 12:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 20? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 40.0 %chance
  • Yes 40.0¢ · No 60.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

30.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.0¢
Yes price now
7.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
96
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • e2…b0Yes994.9
  • gr…69No760
  • gr…69Yes727.9
  • Tr…rlNo499.8
  • j…vNo234.9

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank