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Politics · US electionsTrump

Question

Will Trump say "TSMC" or "Taiwan" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?

Live · starts 19:45 UTC

Yes
73.0 % chance
No
27.0 % chance
$1.2K
24

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 23:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 19:50 UTC

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? → all 21 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 73.0 %chance
  • Yes 73.0¢ · No 27.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

60.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
73.0¢
Yes price now
13.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • a…7Yes1,023
  • h…vNo511.4
  • j…vNo422.4
  • Qu…chYes200
  • sb…bgNo200

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Will Trump say "TSMC" or "Taiwan" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank