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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Live · started Jun 26 20:04 UTC

Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$271.30
6

Trading opened Jul 29, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which Senate races will be within 5%? → all 20 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.1 %chance
  • Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
17.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • Sn…erNo1,455
  • Ju…rkYes1,367
  • ma…ksNo503
  • Si…eeNo500
  • Co…ctYes688.9

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Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank