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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 20?

Live · started Oct 19 21:00 UTC

Yes
1.3 % chance
No
98.7 % chance
$246.37
9

Trading opened Oct 19, 2026 12:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 20, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 20? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.3 %chance
  • Yes 1.3¢ · No 98.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • gr…69No184.4
  • j…tNo40.8
  • ri…eeYes70
  • te…udYes47.8
  • li…etNo6.1

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 20? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank