Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC
Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$26.60
5
Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.1 %chance
- Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.1¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
3
Top holders
- Re…ekNo848.5
- wi…34Yes2,472
- 42…esYes2,380
- 1…2No474.4
- in…thNo370.2
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