World · Global electionsIran
Question
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Live
Yes
94.5 % chance
No
5.5 % chance
$29.1K
44
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? → all 27 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 94.5 %chance
- Yes 94.5¢ · No 5.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
94.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.0¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
65
Smart money
24
Top holders
- Re…e.Yes16,256
- an…23Yes8,520
- br…neYes6,496
- la…anYes6,413
- Su…alYes5,119
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