Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Live

Yes

1.9 % chance

98.1 % chance

$386.75

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.9 %chance
Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.6¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

1.9¢

Yes price now

0.7¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Lu…ysNo74.6
Vi…axNo70
pl…erNo60
a…zNo40
Gi…naNo30.1

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