Weather · ClimateClimate & Sciencemeasles
Question
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Open, no trades in the last 24 h
Yes
97.4 % chance
No
2.6 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 09:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 97.4 %chance
- Yes 97.4¢ · No 2.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
87.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.4¢
Yes price now
9.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0
Top holders
- f…nYes452.4
- Y4…olYes243
- Th…leYes130
- b…sNo300
- AnonymousNo121.9
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