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Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake

Question

Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
48.3 % chance
No
51.7 % chance
$1.5K
19

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 48.3 %chance
  • Yes 48.3¢ · No 51.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
48.7¢
Yes price now
42.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
42
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • Ge…56No1,260
  • Ki…ngYes1,224
  • He…15Yes371.7
  • Ge…23No133.3
  • GA…BDNo156

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Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank