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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Florida (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
3.8 % chance
No
96.2 % chance
$224.55
8

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.8 %chance
  • Yes 3.8¢ · No 96.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.8¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • xt…meYes428.8
  • qu…elNo105
  • Lu…ysNo100.9
  • g…8Yes555.1
  • ba…arNo70

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Will Florida (Special) be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank