Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$228.69
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
8
Top holders
- a…zNo66.6
- gr…19No30
- go…26No30
- Gi…ngNo16.7
- Ac…onNo16.7
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