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World · Global electionsIran

Question

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Live

Yes
85.5 % chance
No
14.5 % chance
$12.9K
70

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 31, 2026 20:29 UTC

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? → all 27 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 85.5 %chance
  • Yes 85.5¢ · No 14.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

79.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
85.5¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
327
Smart money
42

Top holders

  • Re…e.Yes81,292
  • 65…57Yes52,423
  • 52…isNo50,576
  • ra…n3No41,768
  • mr…ziYes17,663

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