Tech · ScienceMeasles
Question
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
99.3 % chance
No
0.7 % chance
$2.2K
12
Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 19:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.3 %chance
- Yes 99.3¢ · No 0.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
75.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.3¢
Yes price now
23.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
10
Top holders
- f…nYes2,588
- Fe…htNo978.2
- Bu…erYes229
- sd…f2No691.9
- A…VNo205.5
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