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Finance · EquitiesSPY Daily Close U/O

Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16?

Live · started Oct 15 21:00 UTC

Yes
80.5 % chance
No
19.5 % chance
$1.0K
19

Trading opened Oct 15, 2026 12:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 20:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 80.5 %chance
  • Yes 80.5¢ · No 19.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

63.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
63.5¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
61
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • e2…b0Yes370
  • gr…inYes329.9
  • K…YNo341.1
  • 0x…8bNo400
  • Fa…neYes137

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank