Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$171.65
10
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo67.7
- go…26No30
- pl…erNo30
- Im…onNo16.7
- Lu…utNo16.7
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