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Finance · Central banks & ratesFed

Question

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Live

Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$1.35
3

Trading opened Feb 26, 2026 00:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 29, 2027 04:59 UTC

Fed rate cut by...? → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.5 %chance
  • Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

27.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
24.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Th…ulNo44,502
  • st….2No11,758
  • A…oNo5,740
  • No…ngYes6,210
  • ma…07Yes13,474

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Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank