Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$359.24
16
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.6 %chance
- Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
12
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo74.6
- Vi…axNo70
- pl…erNo60
- Gi…naNo54.1
- a…zNo40
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…