Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Live
Yes
2.8 % chance
No
97.2 % chance
$130.86
7
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.8 %chance
- Yes 2.8¢ · No 97.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.8¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
6
Top holders
- a…zNo49.4
- Lu…ysNo38.1
- xt…meYes140.1
- Di…onNo16.7
- P…TYes30
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