Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Live
Yes
53.5 % chance
No
46.5 % chance
$26.6K
99
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 19:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 53.5 %chance
- Yes 53.5¢ · No 46.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
52.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
53.5¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
140
Smart money
55
Top holders
- pa…aaNo20,058
- St…ntNo20,000
- Pa…iaNo17,162
- M…PYes15,456
- wi…ogNo9,359
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