Politics · US electionsdemocrats
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$1.7K
9
Trading opened Feb 19, 2026 00:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory → all 14 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Tagged holders
7
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo3,166
- Vi…axNo1,212
- pe…opNo1,085
- Bi…ggNo1,052
- sc…oiNo1,000
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