World · Global electionsIran
Question
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Live
Yes
69.5 % chance
No
30.5 % chance
$14.1K
54
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? → all 27 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 69.5 %chance
- Yes 69.5¢ · No 30.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
73.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
69.5¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
105
Smart money
34
Top holders
- cl…edYes6,000
- la…anYes4,747
- AnonymousNo6,420
- me…rrNo6,820
- Em…EGNo7,234
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