Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
2.3 % chance
No
97.7 % chance
$336.06
18
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.3 %chance
- Yes 2.3¢ · No 97.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.3¢
Yes price now
2.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
15
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- pl…erNo60
- n…1Yes172.2
- Gi…naNo30.1
- 12…56No24.5
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