Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$185.17
8
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
6.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
5
Top holders
- a…zNo66.6
- AnonymousYes50
- AnonymousNo50
- pl…erNo30
- Qu…erNo22.9
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