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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
10.8 % chance
No
89.2 % chance
$565.65
13

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 10.8 %chance
  • Yes 10.8¢ · No 89.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.8¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • co…ksNo935.7
  • xt…meYes910.6
  • re…26Yes500.4
  • Se…enNo162.5
  • Lu…ysNo95.6

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Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank