Weather · ClimateClimate & Sciencemeasles
Question
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Live
Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$127.60
11
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 15:17 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.5 %chance
- Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
4.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Sa…teNo122.8
- f…nNo110
- Ga…maYes166
- A…VNo68.1
- Lo…23Yes60
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