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World · Economy & the FedRBNZReserve Bank of New Zealand Decision

Question

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?

Live

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$1.44
5

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 00:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 17, 2027 23:59 UTC

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
12.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • po…odNo283
  • xt…meYes183
  • h…vYes80
  • Fa…anNo20
  • Lu…ysNo20

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Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank