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Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake

Question

Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
6.5 % chance
No
93.5 % chance
$143.12
11

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 6.5 %chance
  • Yes 6.5¢ · No 93.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.5¢
Yes price now
6.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • Ki…ngNo480
  • A…VYes521.2
  • Ju…reNo60
  • No…otYes61.6
  • Vi…axNo22.6

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Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank