Politics · US electionsdemocrats
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?
Live
Yes
19.6 % chance
No
80.4 % chance
$6.0K
19
Trading opened Feb 19, 2026 00:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory → all 14 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 19.6 %chance
- Yes 19.6¢ · No 80.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
33.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
19.6¢
Yes price now
13.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
44
Tagged holders
15
Top holders
- Ga…maNo13,706
- Pr…ieNo10,150
- av…erYes7,773
- ga…lfYes6,170
- Kf…uyYes4,804
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