Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?
Live
Yes
96.4 % chance
No
3.6 % chance
$123.6K
159
Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 13:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 18, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.4 %chance
- Yes 96.4¢ · No 3.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
94.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.4¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
306
Smart money
84
Top holders
- la…anYes22,964
- sd…kyYes20,000
- Tr…onYes18,136
- AnonymousYes11,523
- AnonymousYes10,477
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