Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.4 % chance
No
98.6 % chance
$1.9K
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.4 %chance
- Yes 1.4¢ · No 98.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.4¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
10
Top holders
- mi…baNo1,745
- Ha…thYes1,670
- a…zNo48.1
- pl…erNo30
- xt…meYes187.6
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