Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$25.74
4
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
1
Top holders
- pi…esYes1,013,812
- la…zaYes300,000
- 7G…ANNo17,074
- tr…erYes176,933
- mo…26Yes100,908
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