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Politics · US elections

Question

Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Live

Yes
7.0 % chance
No
93.0 % chance
$1.9K
28

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 7.0 %chance
  • Yes 7.0¢ · No 93.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.0¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
50
Smart money
20

Top holders

  • mi…baNo1,067
  • xt…meYes682.4
  • ri…eeNo100
  • a…zNo77.3
  • Vi…axNo70

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Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank