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Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake

Question

Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$1.1K
19

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
14.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
49
Smart money
13

Top holders

  • Ye…rrNo305.4
  • po…leNo180.2
  • Op…ntNo172.2
  • jo…91No117.3
  • Vi…axNo70

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Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank