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Question

Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$379.40
9

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo383.9
  • ha…ayNo205
  • e…3No134
  • pl…erNo75
  • Lu…ysNo51

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Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank