Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
13.5 % chance
No
86.5 % chance
$113.14
12
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 14:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 13.5 %chance
- Yes 13.5¢ · No 86.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.5¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Fi…owNo318.1
- A…VYes493.6
- th…atNo104.5
- ba…34No80
- Ha…thNo64.8
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…