Politics · Middle East
Question
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Live
Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$22.4K
20
Trading opened Jul 9, 2026 00:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.5 %chance
- Yes 15.5¢ · No 84.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.5¢
Yes price now
5.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
47
Smart money
13
Top holders
- Re…e.No134,063
- 65…57No99,568
- Re…ekYes202,074
- an…23No44,336
- mr…ziNo40,000
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