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Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly

Question

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
15.4 % chance
No
84.6 % chance
$82.58
11

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 15.4 %chance
  • Yes 15.4¢ · No 84.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.4¢
Yes price now
14.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • Ki…ngNo86.5
  • m…dNo51
  • go…26No40
  • e…3No31.2
  • gm…mgNo12.8

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Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank