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Politics · Ukraine & RussiaOil

Question

US imports Russian diesel by January 31?

Live

Yes
17.5 % chance
No
82.5 % chance
$40.3K
30

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 23:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

US imports Russian diesel by...? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 17.5 %chance
  • Yes 17.5¢ · No 82.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

43.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
17.5¢
Yes price now
26.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
59
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • 1n…r1No5,586
  • pu…anNo723.3
  • jk…dfYes959.1
  • ed…99Yes699.5
  • Ai…rdYes704

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US imports Russian diesel by January 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank