Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Live
Yes
73.5 % chance
No
26.5 % chance
$101.5K
178
Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 13:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 9, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 73.5 %chance
- Yes 73.5¢ · No 26.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
68.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
72.5¢
Yes price now
4.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
353
Smart money
107
Top holders
- bi…erYes119,846
- la…anYes13,730
- cl…edNo15,072
- Pa…iaNo15,852
- M…PYes7,542
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