Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.5 % chance
No
98.5 % chance
$37.44
5
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.5 %chance
- Yes 1.5¢ · No 98.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.5¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
4
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- Lo…ogNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
- .M…heYes50
- ba…hrYes13.2
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