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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Louisiana be the closest Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$230.97
9

Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Closest Senate Race? → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
11
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • Th…meNo197.6
  • go…94No85
  • xt…meYes366.1
  • Pr…ieNo49
  • g…8Yes355.4

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Will Louisiana be the closest Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank