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Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics

Question

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?

Live

Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$1.4K
7

Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.5 %chance
  • Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

17.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
11.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • bi…ioNo1,417
  • Da…d6No222.9
  • A…VYes373.2
  • J…YNo160
  • N…iYes500

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Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank